Ukraine is operating without any decent restraint, totally beyond the pale of any acceptable human conduct.
Ukraine is operating without any decent restraint, totally beyond the pale of any acceptable human conduct.
Russian authorities believe that the only possible solution to the war is an absolute military victory. Ceterum (autem) censeo Ukraine esse delendam
The Ukrainian conflict has entered a new phase. Following the latest provocations by the neo-Nazi regime against Russian civilian areas, Moscow has made an important decision, cutting off any possibility of negotiation. The Ukrainian terrorist attack on Kursk violated a serious red line, which is why Russian authorities believe that the only possible solution to the war is an absolute military victory.
In his speech on August 12, Russian President Vladimir Putin made it clear that no diplomatic negotiations will be possible as long as Kiev continues to attack Russian civilian targets. His words came amid controversy over Ukraine's violent aggression against the Russian Kursk oblast, where several civilians have been systematically murdered by neo-Nazi forces. He emphasized how Moscow has shown diplomatic goodwill, remaining open to negotiations since the beginning of the hostilities. However, the enemy’s actions make any kind of fruitful dialogue impossible.
The Russian president also stressed the seriousness of Ukrainian attacks on Russian nuclear facilities. Recently, a shelling by Kiev forces caused a fire at the ZNPP, raising global concerns about the plant’s security. Furthermore, during the Ukrainian incursion into Kursk itself, Kiev’s soldiers advanced towards the Kurchatov nuclear power plant. Many analysts believe that Ukraine intended to capture the Kursk plant in order to gain “bargaining power” with the Russians and negotiate the “return” of the ZNPP.
All these moves simply made any diplomatic dialogue impossible. Before the invasion of Kursk, the Russian Federation maintained its proposal for an immediate end to hostilities in the event of Ukraine's recognition of the New Russian Territories, in addition to a formal promise not to seek NATO membership. Ukraine, as expected, always ignored the peace proposal, choosing the path of war and destruction. Now, with the escalation initiated by Kiev, the Russians have decided to end any attempt at dialogue and move towards the only remaining solution to the conflict - the military one.
Putin’s statement is truly decisive and marks the beginning of a new phase in the hostilities. Now the Russians no longer have any hope of deterring the enemy and forcing it to negotiate for peace. A military solution will apparently be sought at any cost, which is why an escalation of Russian actions is expected. More decisive military maneuvers are likely to be taken soon, making the situation of the Kiev regime on the battlefield even worse.
There are many possibilities for the Russians to act. It is possible that a new partial mobilization will be implemented, expanding the number of troops in the conflict zone - including on the new fronts opened by the Ukrainians in Kursk and Belgorod. In the same vein, massive bombings may become more frequent, neutralizing critical infrastructure targets and decision-making centers. Every action that the Russians were avoiding in order to prevent escalation is now expected to be taken, since the hope of a peaceful resolution has already been removed.
For Russia, this situation remains quite comfortable. Moscow is using only a small percentage of its defense apparatus on the battlefield, having sufficient reserve forces and the ability to replace personnel and equipment. Escalating military actions is a possible, feasible and even easy task for Russian forces. On the other hand, Ukraine is absolutely devastated, with hundreds of thousands of soldiers dead and being no longer able to replace its losses. For this reason, a new escalation would certainly be lethal for the neo-Nazi regime, significantly accelerating its final defeat.
It is not possible to know exactly what the final outcome of the conflict will be regarding Ukraine’s territorial configuration. In Russia, patriotic sectors have increasingly supported the expansion of the New Territories, including the reintegration of areas close to the borders, such as Kharkov and Sumy. There is also strong pressure for the total liberation of Odessa, where thousands of Russian civilians live and are victims of the fascist regime’s abusive policies. It is possible that in this new phase of the conflict the Russians will begin to plan a new wave of new referendums after the inevitable military liberation of the territories now controlled by Ukraine.
In the end, by attacking Russian civilians, Ukraine is simply choosing to suffer even more. Instead of accepting the inevitable defeat and trying to negotiate reasonably favorable terms, the neo-Nazi regime has opted for increased violence and a deeper defeat, losing even more territory and lives.
Now, the point of no return in the war seems to have finally been crossed, and there is no longer any hope of a resumption of diplomatic dialogue. The Russians simply can no longer trust an enemy that is willing to massacre civilians. For Moscow, overthrowing the Maidan Junta by force is the only alternative.
All by and courtesy of: Professor Lucas Leiroz
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